Monday, July 14, 2008

He's Going To Need It

The recent release of the June fundraising numbers by June McCain showed that he had his best month of the campaign when he raised 22 million. But while those numbers must be promising for McCain and his supporters some other numbers are coming out that probably aren't being received so gladly.

Arizona:
In a sign of continued weakness in his home state, an online poll shows
Sen. John McCain trailing Sen. Barack Obama by 3-percentage points in
Arizona.

South Dakota:
In South Dakota, John McCain leads Barack Obama by just four percentage
points. The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds
McCain with 44% of the vote and Obama with 40%. When “leaners” are
included, it’s still a four-point race--McCain 47% Obama 43%.

North Dakota:
North Dakota is as safe a Republican state as any in Presidential
elections. George W. Bush carried the state by twenty-seven points in
Election 2004 and twenty-eight points four years earlier. The state has
voted for a Democratic Presidential candidate just once since 1936 and
three times since 1916.

Despite that history, John McCain and Barack Obama are tied
in the latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of North Dakota
voters. Both men earn 43% of the vote. When leaners are included,
McCain holds a statistically insignificant one-point advantage, 47% to
46%.

McCain's predicted war chest of approximately $400 million for the general election isn't going to go as far as he would have hoped if he will have to spend money to win his own home state and if the normally "beet red" states of North and South Dakota come into play.

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